Ductile Iron ( DI ) Pipes are the preferred pipes for drinking water infrastructure.Lanco Industries is the only fully backward integrated producer of DI Pipes. It has capacity of 90,000 tonnes of spun DI Pipes, 150,000 tonnes of Pig Iron , 90,000 tonnes of Slag Cement,and 51,000 tonnes of Castings.Besides these it also owns captive Iron Ore Mines and that way its a fully backward integrated DI Pipes producer in India.
Electrosteel castings another major DI Pipe producer owns 57 % of Lanco’s Rs. 39.7 crore equity. Market cap. of Lanco is just about Rs. 160 crores. Over the last 3 years Lanco has installed 150,000 tonnes capacity Coke Oven Plant and 12 MW Power Plant based on Waste Heat Recovery from Coke Oven Plant. Replacement costs of all its plants excluding Captive Iron Ore mines will be above Rs. 500 Crores. Co’s top line for FY 07 is expected to be more than Rs. 425 crores ,growth of about 30 % YOY. Hoewever its bottom line is expected to be Rs. 18 crores a growth of 350 % over FY 06 PAT of Rs. 4.1 crores.Results for FY 07 and Q4 are expected on 30th April . Co. may also declare dividend.
At Rs. 40, share seems to be highly undervalued and is available at P/E of just 4.5 based on its future FY 08 PAT of Rs. 36 crores or an EPS of RS.9 .All other producers of DI Pipes are quoting at P/E of 10+ includig its parent Electro Steel Castings. Demand for DI Pipes is expected to grow at more than 30 % as Govt. has set aside Rs. 25,000 crores for Drinking Water Infrastructure because of growing urbanisation and inadequate existing infrastructure. Besides domestic demand there is growing overseas demand too for DI ppes. Most important for Lanco is its parentage in Electrosteel Castings and there is a distinct possibility of Lanco mergig with its parent. In that scenario the share will be re-rated and will quote at P/E of about 10.
Buy is recommended on Monday the 30th April at CMP, before declaration of FY 07 results and dividend, and HOLD for atleast one year to see a price close to 3 digits.
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